The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) will soon install a supercomputer that can predict the annual monsoons.
In the upcoming model for monsoon forecasts, weather conditions will be simulated in the supercomputer and the results will be projected to particular time frames to predict monsoons with more precision.
The method is currently in its testing phase in the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology in Pune.
Though this method has been widely used for research purposes, it was never used for operational forecasts.
“We hope to be able to launch it next year though discussions are still ongoing, we are ready to use the dynamical model, but this doesn’t mean one is abandoned for the other. Both have their role and we must use what’s best,” Madhavan Rajeevan, secretary of the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), was quoted by The Hindu.
At present IMD depends on a statistical technique that uses an average of six meteorological values correlated to the monsoon such as sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and North Atlantic sea level pressure.
